Warm Start Then Stormy Midweek Before a Cooler Sunny Finish
A mild, almost springlike feel opens the forecast, but the calm start will not last all the way through the week. The next several days bring a little bit of everything: warm afternoons, increasing clouds, thunderstorms, a sharp dip in nighttime temperatures, and then another round of showers later in the weekend.
The main weather story is timing. Today looks comfortable and warm, with a high near 78 and only light wind. Thursday brings the most active stretch, with showers and thunderstorms likely and a 70 percent chance of rain. Friday then turns brighter and cooler, setting up a crisp night before clouds and showers return Saturday night into Sunday.
For planning, the best outdoor windows look like today and Friday, with some usable time on Saturday before rain chances rise late. The wettest and most unsettled periods appear to be Thursday and late Saturday night through Sunday.
The warm start comes with light wind and mild air
Today begins the forecast on a pleasant note. Skies should be partly sunny, and temperatures are expected to climb to around 78. That is warm enough for short sleeves in the afternoon, but not quite the kind of heat that forces major changes to outdoor plans.
Winds stay light and variable, which means the air may feel a bit still at times. Without much wind, sunny breaks can make the afternoon feel warmer than the number on the thermometer. Shaded areas will feel more comfortable, especially if clouds thin for a while.
This is the kind of day where outdoor errands, yardwork, walks, and school sports practices should have a good window. There is no significant rain chance in the forecast for today, so the main variable is cloud cover rather than wet weather.
Tonight, clouds increase again. The sky turns mostly cloudy, and temperatures only fall to around 61. That is a mild overnight low. Calm wind will keep conditions quiet, but the cloud cover will help hold warmth near the ground.
A low near 61 also means Thursday starts on the humid and mild side. That matters because mild air near the surface can help support showers and thunderstorms when a weather system arrives.
Thursday brings the most active weather of the week
Thursday is the day to watch closely. Showers and thunderstorms are likely, with mostly cloudy skies and a high near 77. The chance of precipitation is 70 percent, which signals a strong likelihood that many spots will see rain at some point during the day.
Rainfall amounts are generally expected to range from a tenth to a quarter of an inch. That is not a soaking rain for everyone, but thunderstorms can change the totals quickly. Any stronger storm could produce locally higher rainfall amounts in a short period.
The wind remains light and variable, so storms may not move especially fast. When storm movement is slow, brief downpours can linger over one area while a nearby community gets much less rain. That is one reason rainfall totals can vary even across short distances.
Thursday will not necessarily be a washout from sunrise to sunset. Showers and storms often come in waves. There may be dry breaks between rounds, but the overall setup favors keeping rain gear nearby.
The main impacts to plan around include:
Wet roads during the commute Rain may reduce visibility and make pavement slick, especially where heavier showers pass through.
Lightning risk with thunderstorms If thunder is close enough to hear, it is close enough to take seriously. Outdoor activities should move inside until storms pass.
Brief heavier rainfall Even modest forecast totals can come down quickly under a thunderstorm.
Changing timing With showers and storms likely, outdoor plans need flexibility rather than a fixed dry window.
Thursday night keeps a chance of showers before 8 p.m., then conditions trend drier. The rain chance drops to 30 percent. Skies remain mostly cloudy, and the low falls to around 55. A light west wind develops, helping bring in a cooler and drier feel behind the system.
Friday turns brighter, cooler, and more comfortable
Friday looks like the payoff after Thursday’s unsettled weather. The forecast calls for mostly sunny skies and a high near 72. That is cooler than the warm start, but still comfortable for most daytime plans.
A light northwest wind increases to 5 to 10 mph during the morning. That wind shift is a clue that a different air mass is arriving. Northwest wind often brings drier, cooler air after a front or storm system moves through.
The result should be a cleaner, fresher feel outside. Humidity should ease, clouds should break, and visibility may improve after Thursday’s rain.
Friday is likely the best day of the forecast for activities that need dry weather and pleasant temperatures. It should work well for:
Outdoor work that was delayed by Thursday’s rain
Walking, running, or biking
Evening plans that do not require warm temperatures
Opening windows for a short stretch if indoor humidity is high
Friday night turns noticeably cooler. The low drops to around 44 under partly cloudy skies. That is a sharp change from tonight’s low near 61. The difference will be easy to feel by late evening and early Saturday morning.
A low in the 40s may call for a jacket if heading out early or late. It may also be a good night to bring sensitive potted plants closer to the house, depending on local exposure. Frost is not part of this forecast, but sheltered valleys and colder rural locations can run cooler than official readings.
Saturday starts usable before rain chances rise late
Saturday brings partly sunny skies and a high near 68. It is cooler than today and Thursday, but still mild enough for many outdoor plans. The first part of the day appears more favorable than the night.
This may be the better weekend window for yardwork, errands, youth sports, or local events. Clouds may increase later, but the day itself does not carry the higher rain chance that Saturday night does.
By Saturday night, the forecast turns wetter. Showers become likely, mainly after 2 a.m., with mostly cloudy skies and a low around 48. The chance of precipitation rises to 70 percent.
That timing matters. Evening plans may not be completely washed out, but late-night travel and early Sunday plans could be affected. If showers arrive after 2 a.m., roads may already be wet by sunrise Sunday.
The Saturday night setup also means leaving outdoor items uncovered could be a nuisance. Cushions, tools, sports gear, and decorations may be dry Saturday afternoon but wet by Sunday morning if left outside.
A simple Saturday plan would be:
Best window | Less favorable window |
Late morning through afternoon | Late night after 2 a.m. |
Outdoor chores and errands | Leaving gear outside overnight |
Travel before showers develop | Early Sunday travel on wet roads |
Sunday stays damp, especially early in the day
Sunday has showers likely, mainly before 2 p.m. Skies stay mostly cloudy, and the high reaches around 68. The chance of precipitation is 60 percent.
This points to a damp start and possibly a slow improvement later in the day. Morning and midday plans face the greatest risk of rain. By late afternoon, shower coverage may decrease, but the sky may still look gray.
It may not rain every minute on Sunday. A forecast of showers likely means rain is expected in the area, but breaks are possible. The challenge is that those breaks can be hard to time far in advance.
If Sunday includes travel, outdoor sports, church events, markets, or family plans, build in extra time and a backup option. Wet grass and muddy areas may remain an issue even after rain tapers.
Sunday night brings a chance of showers before 8 p.m., with the rain chance dropping to 30 percent. Skies remain mostly cloudy, and the low settles around 48. That is cool, but not as chilly as Friday night.
The pattern does not fully clear out after Sunday. Instead, low rain chances linger into early next week.
Early next week keeps a cool, unsettled pattern
Monday stays mostly cloudy with a high near 69 and a 40 percent chance of showers. That is not as wet-looking as Thursday or Saturday night, but it keeps the umbrella in the conversation.
Monday night brings a 50 percent chance of showers and a low around 48. With clouds in place, temperatures should not drop sharply, but the damp feel may continue.
Tuesday offers some improvement. The forecast calls for partly sunny skies, a high near 71, and a 30 percent chance of showers. That suggests the pattern may start to loosen, though a stray shower remains possible.
The early-week forecast is not a clean, sunny reset. It is better described as unsettled but manageable. There should be dry periods, but the chance of showers remains high enough to check the forecast before committing to outdoor work or travel without backup plans.
For a quick view, here is how the stretch breaks down:
Day | Main sky condition | High | Rain chance |
Today | Partly sunny | 78 | Low |
Thursday | Mostly cloudy, storms likely | 77 | 70% |
Friday | Mostly sunny | 72 | Low |
Saturday | Partly sunny | 68 | Low during the day |
Saturday night | Mostly cloudy, showers likely | 48 | 70% |
Sunday | Mostly cloudy, showers likely | 68 | 60% |
Monday | Mostly cloudy, chance of showers | 69 | 40% |
Tuesday | Partly sunny, chance of showers | 71 | 30% |
What this means for outdoor plans
This forecast has several shifts, so the best approach is to match plans to the right part of the week.
Today is warm and cooperative. If something needs dry weather, today offers one of the better chances. It will be mild, calm, and partly sunny.
Thursday is the day with the most disruption. Showers and thunderstorms are likely. Keep flexible plans, especially for anything outside. Lightning is the biggest concern with thunderstorms, even if rainfall totals stay modest.
Friday is the clear winner for comfortable weather. Mostly sunny skies, cooler air, and a light northwest breeze should make it feel fresh. The evening will cool quickly.
Saturday is not a total loss. The daytime forecast looks usable, with partly sunny skies and a high near 68. The bigger rain risk comes late Saturday night.
Sunday looks damp early. Showers are likely before 2 p.m., so morning outdoor plans may need a backup. Later in the day could improve, but clouds may linger.
This is also a good week to think about timing around wet ground. Even when rain stops, lawns, trails, and fields may stay soft. If Thursday thunderstorms bring heavier downpours in spots, some areas could stay muddy into Friday morning. Then a new round of showers Saturday night and Sunday could reset those conditions.
Small preparations can make the wet stretches easier
The forecast does not point to extreme weather, but it does include enough rain and thunder to justify a little preparation.
Before Thursday, take a few simple steps:
Clear leaves or debris from small drains and gutters where safe to do so.
Bring in lightweight outdoor items that could blow around in thunderstorm outflows.
Charge devices if storms are expected during work or school hours.
Keep rain gear in the car or near the door.
Avoid parking in spots that collect water during heavy downpours.
For Saturday night into Sunday, the preparation is more about convenience. Bring cushions inside, cover anything that should stay dry, and plan Sunday morning around wet conditions.
If driving during heavier rain, slow down and leave more space. Pavement often gets slick when rain begins, especially after dry stretches. Use headlights when visibility drops, and never drive through water covering a roadway. It can be deeper than it looks.
The takeaway for the week ahead
The forecast begins warm and fairly quiet, then turns active Thursday as showers and thunderstorms become likely. After that, Friday brings the best combination of sunshine, cooler air, and lower rain chances. Saturday starts decent, but showers become likely again late Saturday night, with a damp Sunday likely before scattered shower chances linger into Monday and Tuesday.
The simplest planning rule is this: use today and Friday for the most weather-sensitive outdoor plans, stay flexible Thursday, and watch the late-weekend rain timing. The cooler air behind the midweek storms will feel refreshing, but the pattern does not fully settle down for long.
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