Showers, Thunderstorms, and a Sunny Turn Ahead for the Week

Central New York is heading into an unsettled stretch, with showers and thunderstorms expected at times today, tonight, and again Monday before a drier, sunnier break arrives by midweek.

The latest forecast for the Canastota area calls for a 60% chance of rain today, with the most active weather likely during the afternoon and evening. Temperatures will stay mild to warm, reaching the lower to mid-80s today and Monday before easing closer to the upper 70s late in the week.

Storms may interrupt the afternoon before quieter weather returns Sunday.

Showers increase today with thunderstorms possible

Saturday begins with isolated showers before 2 p.m., followed by a higher chance of showers and a possible thunderstorm between 2 p.m. and 4 p.m. After 4 p.m., scattered showers and thunderstorms remain possible.

The day will not be a washout for everyone. Skies are expected to be partly sunny at times, and rainfall totals outside thunderstorms should stay light, generally less than one-tenth of an inch. Any thunderstorm could produce locally higher amounts in a short time.

The high will reach near 84 degrees. Winds will start calm, then turn west around 6 mph during the afternoon.

That combination of warmth, humidity, and light wind will support hit-or-miss storms rather than a steady all-day rain. Outdoor plans may still be possible, but the afternoon and early evening carry the highest risk for interruptions.

Storm chances continue tonight before patchy fog develops

Showers and thunderstorms are likely tonight, mainly before 2 a.m. After that, the rain chance drops to isolated showers.

Skies will stay mostly cloudy, with a low around 66 degrees. A light south wind is expected.

Rainfall tonight may total between one-tenth and one-quarter of an inch, though thunderstorms could produce higher localized amounts. Patchy fog may form between 4 a.m. and 5 a.m., especially in low spots and places that receive rain earlier in the night.

Drivers early Sunday should watch for reduced visibility, wet pavement, and ponding in poor-drainage areas.

Wet roads and brief low visibility are possible during heavier showers.

Sunday brings a quieter and brighter turn

Sunday looks like the best day of the weekend for improving weather.

Patchy fog may linger between 7 a.m. and 8 a.m. The sky will remain mostly cloudy through midmorning, then become sunny as the day goes on.

The high will reach near 80 degrees, with a west wind of 6 to 9 mph. Sunday night will be mostly clear, with a low around 61. Winds will become calm.

The Sunday forecast offers a clear break between unsettled periods. After Saturday’s showers and storms, Sunday should give lawns, fields, roads, and outdoor spaces time to dry out.

Monday brings another round of rain and storms

The unsettled pattern returns Monday.

A chance of showers is expected during the day, then showers become likely after 2 p.m. A thunderstorm is also possible. The high will climb near 84 degrees, similar to Saturday, with calm wind becoming southwest at 5 to 7 mph during the afternoon.

The chance of precipitation Monday is 60%.

Monday night appears to be the wettest period in the forecast. Showers and possibly a thunderstorm are expected before 2 a.m., followed by a chance of showers. The low will be around 64 degrees, and the chance of precipitation rises to 80%.

Residents should expect another round of wet roads Monday evening and overnight. While the forecast does not call out a specific severe weather risk, any thunderstorm can bring brief heavy rain, lightning, and gusty wind.

Most rainfall should stay light, but thunderstorms can raise totals in spots.

Tuesday starts damp before conditions improve

Tuesday keeps a chance of showers in the forecast, mainly before 2 p.m. The chance of rain is 40%.

Skies will be partly sunny, and the high will be near 80 degrees. Tuesday night turns mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.

This marks the transition away from the more active start to the week. Some damp conditions may remain early Tuesday, but the forecast trends drier after that.

Wednesday looks like the clearest midweek day

Wednesday is expected to be mostly sunny, with a high near 80.

Wednesday night brings a slight shift back toward unsettled weather, with a 30% chance of showers. Skies will be partly cloudy, and the low will fall to around 59.

For midweek plans, Wednesday currently stands out as the most favorable day. It should offer the most sunshine between the early-week storms and the next round of shower chances later in the week.

Shower chances return Thursday before a sunny Friday

Thursday brings another chance of showers. The day will be partly sunny, with a high near 78 and a 40% chance of precipitation.

Thursday night remains mostly cloudy, with a 30% chance of showers and a low around 57.

Friday looks drier and cooler, with mostly sunny skies and a high near 76. That would bring a calmer finish to a week that starts warm, damp, and stormy.

Sunshine becomes more likely by midweek and again Friday.

The week at a glance

Day	Forecast	High and low
Today	Showers likely, thunderstorms possible mainly afternoon and evening	High near 84
Tonight	Showers and storms likely before 2 a.m., then isolated showers and patchy fog	Low around 66
Sunday	Morning clouds and fog, then sunny	High near 80, low around 61
Monday	Showers likely after 2 p.m., thunderstorm possible	High near 84, low around 64
Tuesday	Chance of showers before 2 p.m., then partly sunny	High near 80, low around 60
Wednesday	Mostly sunny, chance of showers at night	High near 80, low around 59
Thursday	Chance of showers	High near 78, low around 57
Friday	Mostly sunny	High near 76

The main message is simple: keep rain gear nearby today and Monday, watch for fog early Sunday, and look for the best stretch of sunshine on Sunday afternoon, Wednesday, and Friday.